Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin: A Data-Deep Analysis of the US Open Second-Round Clash

Jessica Pegula faces Sofia Kenin in the US Open second round. Pegula enters with strong hard-court results (Washington final, Cincinnati final) and a 4-2 head-to-head lead. Kenin has only six main-draw wins this season and struggled past Venus Williams, saving seven set points. The match will be decided by Pegula's elite return game against Kenin's vulnerable serve. Pegula also faces significant points-defense pressure as the 2026 runner-up, with 1,300 points to defend. Data analysis favors Pegula, but Kenin’s fighting spirit cannot be dismissed.